Fantasy outlook for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 8 and inside the organization.
Hey Tampa Bay Buccaneers fans, need help figuring out the fantasy values for your favorite players? We have you covered with this breakdown!
Record: 3-3-0, 3rdNFC South Division
Coach: Dirk Koetter(3-3-0)
Bye: Week 5
Points For: 167 (27.8/g) 8th of 32
Points Against: 196 (32.7/g) 32nd of 32
Offensive Coordinator: Todd Monken
Defensive Coordinator: Mark Duffner
Week 8 Matchup: @Cincinnati Bengals
Week 8 is coming up fast not only for us fantasy players but for the NFL teams, especially the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Talk about an exciting season full of fireworks and personnel changes within the team, from the quarterback position and running back position specifically. Their season got off to a very unexpected start (in a good way for you Bucs lovers), with the Fitzmagic show, lighting up the New Orleans Saints, Philadelphia Eagles, and Pittsburg Steelers before they came crashing down to earth against a tough Chicago Bears defense. Along came Jameis Winston, the original franchise quarterback, on his final straw, leading this team and maintaining a high scoring offense filled with weapons in the receiving core and tight end position.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are averaging 93.7 fantasy points per game for skills players
(2ndin the league) while allowing 96.3 per game to the opposition (last in the league). This alone is causing the Bucs offense to pass a ton, as they are often playing from behind, with the exception being last week against the Browns, where for a rare moment they were defending a lead. Speaking of passing, 80.9% of the Bucs yards on offense has come via the pass, which is the most in the league. This is a shade at the running game which until last week (rookie Ronald Jones) had not accounted for a touchdown this season. The disconnect between DeSean Jackson and Jameis Winston has continued into this year (carried on from last year), which is shown below in a split from Ryan Fitzpatrick and when Winston is throwing to him.
Ryan Fitzpatrick: 16-19 (84.2% catch rate)
Jameis Winston: 7-17 (41.2% catch rate)
We may not miss Fitzpatrick but DeSean Jackson surely does. Let’s spend some time talking about each individual Bucs player from a fantasy perspective for their matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals.
He has thrown for over 360 yards in four straight starts dating back to last year as this offense is built to do one thing and one thing only. He’s also added 29 and 55 yards rushing in his two starts this season, wiping away the turnover or two he has per game. The Bengals are 30thin passing yardage allowed per game (310.9) and are 28thin passing points allowed per game (19.3).
After two down games, he bounced with seven receptions on 11 targets while the Bengal’s have struggled to contain top WR’s for each team, allowing WR9 games to Tyreek Hill, WR12 to Antonio Browns, and a WR8 game to Julio Jones in three of the past four games. The one exception game being the Miami Dolphins, and who on that roster is really worrying any defense. Evans (2ndin the league in contested catches 72.7% success rate) has seen a target count of 9, 5, and 11 in the last three weeks which needs to go up. Evans needs to see double-digit targets every game to return the WR1 value he was drafted in most leagues to be. Since Winston took over his last three fantasy finishes are WR43, WR49, and WR17. He is an every-week WR2 with WR1 upside.
He ran a season-high 45 routes last week after averaging 22.8 per game through five games. He is on the field anywhere from 51% to 72% of the offensive snaps. Why that varies is beyond me as he is a very talented WR2 on this team. He has seen double digits targets just once this year (when Fitzpatrick was the starter in week 3). Outside of one game where he had 74 receiving yards he hasn’t surpassed 59 yards this season and hasn’t finished better than WR18. His next best finish was WR31. He is a touchdown-dependent WR3 but leads the team in targets inside of the 10-yard line (seven).
He and Winston haven’t connected like he was with Fitzpatrick, but he still has double-digit points in each of Winston’s two starts. Cincinnati has allowed multiple top 36 scorers at receiver in three of their past four games. But you are chasing points here if you are starting him in your lineups. Consider him a boom or bust WR4 with WR3 upside at best.
He’s been a top 10 scorer in each of his past four full games played while the Bengals are 31stin receptions allowed (6.9) and 28thin yardage (74.4) per game to opposing tight ends. He has been more involved in the offense compared to Brate, seeing the field over 60% of the time in 4 out of the first 6 games, with one game being cut short due to injury. In every game he has played full, Howard has surpassed 54 yards in all of them, and there is no reason for that to change in this game. Considering the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will be playing a back and forth with the Bengals offense, it wouldn’t surprise me if he had his first 100-yard receiving game.
In the last three weeks Brate went from a snap share of 64.3% to 41% and finally week 7 he was at 42.9%. Brate has had a snap share of more than 47% just once (64.3%), which was only because Howard was missing time due to an injury. He has never seen more than four targets and has had never had more than 34 yards. As a matter of fact, in week 6 he had one reception for a 15-yard touchdown and that was it. Literally a touchdown-dependent tight end he is not someone you can trust in your lineup unless you are facing the bye week fiasco.
Tampa Bay RB’s
Peyton Barber is dealing with an injury that has not been disclosed to the media at this time, so it is hard to predict if he will even play this week. Ronald Jones was sharing the load and became the featured back once Barber went down with the injury, which allowed him to account for a touchdown. The running back position is minimally used in the passing downs and even that he is sharing with Jacquizz Rodgers. The Bucs backfield is averaging a league-low 79.5 yards from the line of scrimmage per game.
The defense has been one of the worst in the league in just about every category. 2ndworst in yards per play (6.6 yards), tied for the 3rdfewest takeaways (6), allowing the 4thmost passing yards (1965 yards), the most passing touchdowns (18), have the fewest interceptions (1), the 5thfewest sacks (14), allow the highest quarterback rating to opposing teams (125.8) and are penalized the 5thmost in the league (50). All this while playing one fewer game than most of the league since they had an early bye week. All is not gloom though since this is a good sign for us Tampa Bay Buccaneers fantasy owners, who get to enjoy the points we get from all the points this team has to put up to keep pace.
Buccaneer of the Week
In this segment, I will talk about one Buccaneer player/position and what they are doing for their community and how you can help for their cause. For this week I am going to write about their offensive lineman, who for the past 11 years, has graciously distributed over 10,000 meals during the “Turkey Time with the O-Line” event. This generous tradition was started back in 2007 by former Bucs offensive lineman Jeremy Trueblood and David Joseph, “It’s cool to see something go from just an idea to locker room talk, to really starting a tradition around here,” Joseph said. “To be a part of it is awesome.”
This event takes place at One Buccaneer Place every year when they host 1,000 families, who are not able to enjoy the pleasure of thanksgiving the way we can, at their facility. These families receive the chance of a lifetime as a fan to enjoy time with the players, the coaching staff, cheerleaders, and of course, their very own mascot, “Captain Fear.” What is an event with the Fear Captain himself? For families who would like to be part of this giving event, please visit the Buccaneers Academy Staff and United Way Suncoast, as they pre-select the families to enjoy this wonderful day.
Are you a Tampa Bay Buccaneers fan? Do you agree with out fantasy outlook? Comment below!